Polls 2024 Prediction. Data for fivethirtyeight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here. Sun belt states look more competitive for harris, according to new polls a majority of likely voters surveyed recently in arizona and north carolina said they would vote for her over trump, and.

Including third parties and independents. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used.